January 23rd, 2013
futuristgerd
October 13th, 2012
futuristgerd
September 28th, 2012
greenfuturist
On terms of mobile payments, here are which industries will lead: INTERNET COMPANIES and TECHNOLOGY COMPANIES. Not telcos. A huge wakeup call imho.
July 17th, 2012
gabrieleruttloff

The 4th Edition of Expo-Telecom Costa Rica September 2012
Expo-Telecom has become the largest telecommunications event in Central America since its opening in 2008.

(Source: expotelecom.net )

April 20th, 2012
stoweboyd

Nokia Posts $1.2B Loss

Sales of the new Lumia 900 seems to be going well in the US, but Nokia had bad news for the market, posting a $1.2B loss for the first quarter of 2012:

Nokia Posts $1.2 Billion Loss as Sales Drop 29% - Kevin J O’Brien via NYTimes.com

Sales in Nokia’s core devices and services division, which generates up to 60 percent of total sales, fell 40 percent in the quarter, to 4.24 billion euros ($5.6 billion), from 7.1 billion euros ($9.3 billion). Sales of smartphones fell 52 percent in the period, to 1.7 billion euros ($2.2 billion), from 3.5 billion euros ($4.6 billion), reflecting that consumers are ignoring the older Symbian-based phones.

Basic cellphones sales, which account for the bulk of Nokia’s handset business, also fell, amid rising competition from low-cost Asian rivals and pressure from Chinese mobile network operators, which are aggressively discounting the prices of basic phones. The average price for a basic Nokia phone fell 18 percent, to 33 euros ($43), from 40 euros ($52), a year earlier.

In related news, Nokia is no longer the highest valued Finnish company, given this fall in value. Fortum, an electric utilities company, is now in that spot. Henry Blodgett thinks Nokia could go bankrupt.

February 22nd, 2012
stoweboyd

Peak Telecom?

Martin Geddes says we’re at ‘Peak Telecom’ — the maximum point of expansion of telecom companies, just before the Internet gobbles them up and changes the economics drastically, commoditizing them into pipe:

Peak Telecoms by Martin Geddes

We’re at “Peak Telecoms”

The telco voice and messaging business is on the verge of going into meltdown. As this is where the margins come from, the problem is hard to exaggerate. The drip-drip of links about declining voice and messaging volume and revenue is becoming a small stream. Even mobile telephony is losing ground in competition to asynchronous messaging. Twitter and Facebook message volumes are exploding, and SMS is beginning to sink. Termination and roaming are endangered species, hunted by packs of voracious regulators. There is no way back.

[…]

In their place, a raft of “internet-time” start-ups are taking their place, filling in the missing features that decades of neglect of the voice and messaging business have left behind. (You mean I still can’t record and search my calls in 2012? Wow!) There’s a few years of catch-up that will let smart operators wring extra services revenue our of feature-starved users.

[…]

Whether it is voice, messaging or video, the chain of money from application to transmission to infrastructure is breaking down.

Martin paints a grim picture for the telcos, which if you hold up to the mirror, looks pretty good for the users. His advice for telcos is dead on, go read it.

November 21st, 2011
gabrieleruttloff

TeleMedia Futures: Keynote Speaker and Futurist Gerd Leonhard Talk at Total Telecom London 2011 (by gleonhard): Perspective: Making the most of content opportunity Should operators extend their skills into content? Do operators want to be content providers or look at partnerships with content providers? What are the opportunities for making money around content? How should content be paid for? How can mobile operators manage data flows and address bottle necks? What’s next for content delivery networks?