January 13th, 2013
futuristgerd
Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds Global Trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. As with the NIC’s previous Global Trends reports, we do not seek to predict the future—which would be an impossible feat—but instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications.

National Intelligence Council - Global Trends

The report is available for the most popular content platforms and e-readers as well as via PDF.  Brief talking points are available here.

Gerd adds: a free book for Kindle and Apple etc - looks interesting, just downloaded it.

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(via futuristgerd)

December 18th, 2012
futuristgerd
Music is a much smaller and less significant part of many people’s lives than 10-20 years ago. There is more competition for our attention and the value of music has declined precipitously. This graphic shows the rise of digital against physical music, and the overall impact of piracy, widespread distribution and digital media on the music industry. The sad story is that overall the music business is shrinking. That is a fact that we all have to face. The silver lining in all of this may be on the horizon, but it cannot come soon enough for me. We have to do something to reverse the trend.
November 12th, 2012
futuristgerd
MEET ME IN LONDON Nov 21 2012 for this keynote talk:
Everybody is talking about ‘data is the new oil’ aka big-data. SoLoMo (social local mobile) is the battle cry of the day. Human-machine interfaces are rapidly evolving and may quickly become commonplace (think Google Glasses, MSFT Kinect), artificial intelligence is the geek-phrase-of-the-day, and Kurzweil says the singularity is near/here. So how will our world really change in the next 5 years, i.e. the way we communicate, get information, create, buy and sell, travel, live and learn? What are the biggest threats and the hottest opportunities - not just in financial terms, but also in societal and human terms? Futurist Gerd Leonhard will share his foresights and explore the key ‘networked society’ scenarios.
October 5th, 2012
futuristgerd
Please join me (Gerd Leonhard) for this debate - should be great fun. Andrew Keen - often called the Anti-Christ of Silicon Valley - is a long-time colleague of mine and even though we don’t agree on a lot of things he puts forth about in his 2 most recent books (The Cult of the Amateur, and the newest Digital Vertigo) I respect his work a lot - don’t miss this; sparks are sure to fly. Attendance is limited to 100 people so sign up early (and be sure to log-in at least 20 mins before showtime:)